2025 NFL DRAFT

DRAFT RECAP

// What happened, what nobody saw coming, and what it means for the analysts

The shock moments
ROUND 1, PICK 2

Jacksonville traded up from #5 to #2 — giving Cleveland a 2026 first — to snag Travis Hunter. Almost nobody predicted the Jaguars at #2. Everyone had Hunter to Cleveland. The trade cost most analysts a lot of exact-hit points.

ROUND 1, PICK 12

Dallas took Tyler Booker (G, Alabama) at #12. Virtually no one predicted this — most had the Cowboys going WR or EDGE. One of the biggest specific team/player misses in the class.

ROUND 1, PICKS 18 & 28

Grey Zabel (OG, NDSU) to Seattle at #18 and Tyleik Williams (DT, Ohio State) to Detroit at #28 were nearly universal misses across all final mocks. Niche selections that required actual team intel.

The Shedeur Story

Shedeur Sanders was projected anywhere from #2 to #9 in final mocks. He fell out of the entire first round and was not selected until the Cleveland Browns took him in the 5th round (#144 overall).

For scoring purposes: analysts who placed Sanders in Round 1 get a miss on that pick. Analysts who correctly omitted him from Round 1 (very few) get credit. No analyst correctly predicted him to Cleveland in Round 5 — this was unprecedented.

Jaxson Dart (Ole Miss, QB) going at #25 to the Giants was the other QB story. Several analysts projected him going in Round 1 but few got the Giants at #25 specifically right.

Full Round 1 results — 2025 NFL Draft
1. TEN · Cam Ward, QB, Miami
2. JAX · Travis Hunter, CB, Colorado ⚡
3. NYG · Abdul Carter, DE, Penn State
4. NE · Will Campbell, OT, LSU
5. CLE · Mason Graham, DT, Michigan
6. LV · Ashton Jeanty, RB, Boise State
7. NYJ · Armand Membou, OT, Missouri
8. CAR · Tetairoa McMillan, WR, Arizona
9. NO · Kelvin Banks Jr., OT, Texas
10. CHI · Colston Loveland, TE, Michigan
11. SF · Mykel Williams, DE, Georgia
12. DAL · Tyler Booker, G, Alabama ⚡
13. MIA · Kenneth Grant, DT, Michigan
14. IND · Tyler Warren, TE, Penn State
15. ATL · Jalon Walker, LB, Georgia
16. ARI · Walter Nolen, DT, Ole Miss
17. CIN · Shemar Stewart, DE, Texas A&M
18. SEA · Grey Zabel, OG, NDSU ⚡
19. TB · Emeka Egbuka, WR, Ohio State
20. DEN · Jahdae Barron, CB, Texas
21. PIT · Derrick Harmon, DT, Oregon
22. LAC · Omarion Hampton, RB, North Carolina
23. GB · Matthew Golden, WR, Texas
24. MIN · Donovan Jackson, OG, Ohio State
25. NYG · Jaxson Dart, QB, Ole Miss
26. ATL · James Pearce Jr., DE, Tennessee
27. BAL · Malaki Starks, S, Georgia
28. DET · Tyleik Williams, DT, Ohio State ⚡
29. WAS · Josh Conerly Jr., OT, Oregon
30. BUF · Maxwell Hairston, CB, Kentucky
31. PHI · Jihaad Campbell, LB, Alabama
32. KC · Josh Simmons, OT, Ohio State